基于灰色关联分析的微震监测预警研究
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1.湖南科技大学;2.湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院

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湖南省自然科学基金项目(2021JJ30268)。


Research on Microseismic Monitoring and Early Warning Based on Grey Correlation Analysis
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Hunan University of Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    为了从整体上深入了解某铅锌硫铁矿的微震活动特征,避免在微震监测过程中利用单个指标难以描述岩体失稳过程中所蕴含的复杂信息的情况,本文选取能量与视体积比值波动、累积微震数、微震活跃度βn、区域集中度、η值这五项作为特征参数,进行灰色关联分析,结合熵权法,发现微震累积数与能量与视体积比值EEI在驱动地压灾害形成中有重要的影响作用,并利用灰色综合评价对每个监测周期的地压风险进行赋分,建立了一个可随后期微震监测数据的增加而不断的改进预警预报模型,并在后期监测工作中表现效果良好。

    Abstract:

    In order to gain an in-depth understanding of the microseismic activity characteristics of a lead-zinc-sulfur iron mine as a whole, and avoid the situation where it is difficult to describe the complex information contained in the rock instability process using a single indicator during microseismic monitoring, this paper selects the ratio of energy to apparent volume, cumulative microseismic count, microseismic activity βn, regional concentration, and η value as characteristic parameters for grey correlation analysis and combines entropy weight method to find that the cumulative number of microseismic events and the ratio of energy to apparent volume EEI have an important influence on the formation of ground pressure disasters. The ground pressure risk during each monitoring period is scored using grey comprehensive evaluation, establishing an early warning and prediction model that can be continuously improved as more microseismic monitoring data becomes available and performing well in subsequent monitoring work

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-09
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-13
  • 录用日期:2024-11-14
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